Search This Blog

Monday, July 30, 2012

Sabah BN leaders' exit, polls delay likely.

KUALA LUMPUR - The drawn-out exit of two Sabah Barisan Nasional (BN) leaders over the weekend is likely to delay a general election from a firm September date to the end of the year as the ruling coalition works to retain its “fixed deposit” in the Borneo states, say sources.

BN sources in Sabah and Kuala Lumpur say the pledge by Tuaran MP Datuk Seri Wilfred Bumburing and Beaufort MP Datuk Seri Lajim Ukin to support Pakatan Rakyat (PR) is among reasons that Datuk Seri Najib Razak is re-looking dates for a snap poll after Budget Day on September 28 for his personal mandate, some three years and three months after taking power in April 2009.

“It is not likely in September now although Umno and its partners are ready for the polls,” a BN source from Kuala Lumpur told The Malaysian Insider.
“Umno needs to make sure both Sabah and Sarawak remain a fixed deposit and provide the bulk of seats because the Malay vote is split in the peninsula,” the source added, referring to Umno’s share of only 79 seats in Election 2008.

Sources had earlier told The Malaysian Insider that a snap poll was likely to happen in September if Najib carries through a plan to dissolve Parliament in August, nine months before the BN mandate expires in April 2013. There have been a few dates bandied about in the past year although the country’s sixth prime minister has expressed confidence of sweeping the majority of all state and federal seats.

Before the latest defection, BN controlled 22 out of the 25 federal seats in Sabah and one in the Federal Territory of Labuan. In Election 2008, BN lost its customary two-thirds parliamentary majority largely due to significant losses in the peninsula, where it won just 85 seats while the opposition swept 80 seats.

BN’s saving grace was in Sabah, Sarawak and Labuan where the pact trounced the opposition and made a near-clean sweep, winning 55 parliamentary seats to the opposition’s two. But after the weekend, BN now controls 136 federal seats while PR has 76 seats, SAPP two and eight independents in the 222-seat Dewan Rakyat.

A Sabah BN source also said a September date is unlikely due to the latest developments in the state, as the ruling coalition will have to ensure there are no serious ramifications from the walkout by the two senior Sabah MPs. Lajim is a deputy minister and Umno supreme council member while Bumburing is the United Pasokmomogun Kadazandusun Murut Organisation (UPKO) deputy president.

“They both don’t have much influence outside their areas but it could spread and prove to be a factor if polls are held soon. Then again, it can fester and still be a problem later on,” he added.

There has been speculation since June that Bumburing and Lajim would quit BN and support PR but it did not happen until the past weekend. “It is a mystery why BN didn’t take action earlier against both of them,” the Sabah BN source said.

Najib has said over the weekend that he will take action today over Lajim’s move to drop all party posts. The prime minister has been focusing on Sabah lately and even announced a much-wanted royal commission of inquiry (RCI) into the state’s illegals problem although no terms of reference or composition for the panel have been set yet.

Political analysts say BN has always treated Sabah and Sarawak as a sure-fire vote bank as it battles to regain the dominant Malay vote in the peninsula. “The loss of the Malay vote can be countered with votes from Sabah and Sarawak but now, no one is sure anymore if there is a fixed deposit,” a political analyst told The Malaysian Insider on condition of anonymity.

UiTM Sabah lecturer Arnold Puyok said last week his research showed that the BN could lose more up to 14 seats it now holds in the state, adding the Kota Kinabalu, Sandakan and Pensiangan seats are being considered “easy wins” for the opposition. “I don’t think the ‘fixed deposit’ will remain,” he was reported as saying.

Najib’s government has seen a slide in approval ratings with only 42 per cent giving a nod to his administration in a June survey carried out by the Merdeka Center for Opinion Research in Peninsular Malaysia, dropping by six percentage points from a month earlier.

But the prime minister remains popular, with a 64 per cent approval rating in June, down from 65 per cent in May. His predecessor, Tun Abdullah Ahmad Badawi, went into Election 2008 with a 71 per cent approval rating but lost the customary two-thirds parliamentary majority and four states.

Najib is seen as the country’s most hardworking politician with numerous visits to various districts including the latest round under the Jelajah Janji Ditepati (Promises Fulfilled Tour) and cash handouts and pledges to help various demographics.

By By Jahabar Sadiq

58 comments:

  1. nah kan ... itulah yang akan terjadi kalau pemimpin tak hiraukan urang ramai yakni rakyatlah.

    tapi dua urang MP ini memang sudah lama kita tunggu-tunggu menyertai rakyat yang tertindas dan siapa-siapa lagi MP menyertai kita nanti adalah hero-hero yang akan menyebabkan UMNO/BN tersungkur di bumi sabah.

    Terima kasih YB Lajim dan YB Wilfred.

    Kita akan teruskan perjuangan ini.........!!!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Adakah kedua-dua pemimpin ini masih relevan untuk rakyat?

      Delete
    2. Even Ronnie Klassen ask why PKR wanted to invited them into their party? Many people have lost their confidence with Lajim and Bumuring.

      Delete
    3. Khairul Zainal · Pengulas Tertinggi
      BN =Barisan Neraka...
      Khairul Zainal · Pengulas Tertinggi
      BN =Barisan Neraka...
      Khairul Zainal · Pengulas Tertinggi
      BN =Barisan Neraka...
      Khairul Zainal · Pengulas Tertinggi
      BN =Barisan Neraka...

      Delete
    4. recycled leaders/politicians...

      Delete
  2. Perjuangan kedua orang ini sudah selesai dan sepatutnya pergi kebun,cangkul tanah dan tanam kacang dan sayur-sayuran sebagai satu senaman setelah lama berpolitik.kadangkala setelah lama berkecimpung dalam satu bidang itu,otak seorang akan menjadi lesu dan basi.Rakyat bukan bodoh sebab mereka tahu yang kedua orang ini adalah orang yang sudah kena tolak oleh parti masing-masing jadi untuk menghidupkan kembali kerjaya politik mereka maka terpaksa buka satu sandiwara dengan harapan penonton akan jadi ghairah dengan lakonan baru mereka.Bagus pencen sajalah kerana rakyat sudah menghidu komplot buruk ini.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Mat Janggut, KudatJuly 31, 2012 at 7:51 AM

      Syabas dan bersyukur kerana Anak Petagas tidak kena 'stroke' sebab sudah semalaman bersama CM tidak lelap mata apabila dua HERO rakyat Sabah DSP Lajim Ukin dan DSP Wilfred Bumburing bertindak berani demi rakyat Sabah meninggalkan 'Bahtera' BN yg bakal karam tidak lama lagi. Bila saja kapal BN karam, tentunya Anak Petagas merasakan berapa tinggi dan luasnya bumi ini kerana sewaktu dahulu ketika dilambung kemewahan Anak Petagas tidak pernah menjengok rakyat2 miskin Sabah yg mempunyai kuasa memilih kerajaan nun jauh dipelusuk kampong utk diberi bantuan. UMNO yg kotor dan membawa najis ke Sabah tahun 1990an perlu dihukum oleh rakyat Sabah menerusi perhitungan politik. Jangan suruh mereka ini tanam kacang dan syur2an tetapi Anak Petagaslah sepatutnya bermula dari sekarang menanam kacang atau mengorek lobang kubur sedalam dalamnya utk mengubur diri sendiri kerana salah seorang agen UMNO.

      Delete
    2. Peluang LO dan WB untuk menang dalam PRU13 tipis jika mereka bertanding.

      Delete
    3. Those who are no longer sincere to fight together in a party should just leave, no use of keeping them.

      Delete
  3. iya pencen tu pencen jugak tapi walaupun kerja dikebun angkat cangkul tanam kacang dan sayuran tapi rakyat mahu pemimpin ini terus memimpin kerana pengalaman dan pengetahuan mereka masih diperlukan oleh rakyat supaya tidak ditipu oleh bajingan dari semenanjung(terutamanya UMNO/BN) yang suka mempergunakan orang sabah dan untuk terus memperbodohkan rakyat sabah.

    ...Perjuangan harus diteruskan..... hidup, hidup,...hidup rakyat.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Bukan Lajim ka juga punca PBS jatuh dulu? Anwar yang 'beli' Lajim kan. Macam ulang cerita saja ni tapi lain versi.

      Delete
    2. Anwar even offered Lajim Ukin the Chief Minister position, will Lajim fall for that? It's possible that he will join PAS as well, he was seen meeting with Nik Aziz recently. Or he will form his own Sabah People's Front instead.

      Delete
    3. lajim senang kena beli lah bah tu maksudnya...cuma tawaran mana yang dia akan ambil, masih kabur2 lagi..

      Delete
    4. tawaran yang tinggi lah Lajim terima, gila kuasa kan.

      Delete
  4. Politic in Sabah is getting interesting.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Is Sabah going to be the 'fixed deposit' again?

      Delete
    2. If Sabah is the fixed deposit, we should get higher payouts in interests. Why do you think people prefer to put their money in Fixed Deposit?

      Delete
    3. memang menarik, pembangkang di Sabah masing-masing cakap besar sampai lpa mau kerjasama.

      Delete
  5. Datuk Najib has decided to delay the polls the first place, he said he wanted to fulfill his 5 year term as Prime Minister before calling for the 13th General Elections.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. jadi kita tunggu pengumuman dari najib sajalah bila pru13 dilangsungkan..

      Delete
    2. PRU tk lama lagi, jadi kena bersedia.

      Delete
  6. AAAHHAHAHAHAAAAAAAAAAAAAK..........OOOOOPS!!!!!!!!!!!

    ReplyDelete
  7. BN =Barisan Neraka...

    BN =Barisan Neraka...BN =Barisan Neraka...
    BN =Barisan Neraka...
    BN =Barisan Neraka...BN =Barisan Neraka...
    BN =Barisan Neraka...

    ReplyDelete
  8. Seorang lari ada ramai lagi yang tingal.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. ya...tidak akan memberi impak yang besar kepada UMNO...

      Delete
    2. Lajim keluar, tpi masi banyak pemimpin yang hebat tingal.

      Delete
  9. mereka akan stay memerintah sekiranya mereka melakukan pekerjaan dengan baik dan mendapat sokongan dari pelbagai pihak terutama rakyat.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. kalau majoriti rakyat sokong, maka memang mereka melakukan kerja dengan baik...

      Delete
    2. Rakyat akan sentiasa menyokong kerajaan, jika semua janji yang di beri di tepati.

      Delete
    3. setuju, kalau kerajaan tunjuk prestasi yang baik, sokongan pasti akan berterusan.

      Delete
  10. we wait the announcement made by PM when will the election will be held..

    ReplyDelete
  11. dulu Lajim keluar PBS dan sertai BN atas tawaranAnwar, kini Lajim keluar BN pun atas tawaran Anwar. pandai betul Anwar pengaruhi Lajim agar jadi katak.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. memang pandai Anwar pancing si Lajim ni.

      Delete
  12. mereka dua ni adalah pemimpin tidak laku, mereka keluar pun takkan menggugat BN.

    ReplyDelete
  13. baguslah juga diorang keluar daripada menjadi perosak dalam parti.

    ReplyDelete
  14. lompat parti ni sudah biasa dalam politik Sabah. yang penting rakyat perlu pandai pilih.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Pasti ada impak positif dan negatif

      Delete
  15. bila2 masa pun PRU13 tetap sama, jadi ready2 saja la

    ReplyDelete
  16. Even in far-away, neutral New Zealand we are boiling mad, your BN Gov’t is outrageously crooked and dishonest, & for how many decades now! GOSH! Horrific plunder and robbery, skinning & fleecing the whole country. eg Taib in Sarawak, holding 3 supreme portfolios of Chief Minstr, Finance Minstr & Planning & Resources Minister, plundering for 31 yrs. Your PM pretends nothing’s there…..now he revenges on Rafizi for the NFC cows, even after 3 murders: Ross Boyert (Taib’s former US aide), Manser (native & rainforest activist) & Altantuyaa (Scorpene $$ claimant), & after BN lost over RM300billion in 55 yrs. Yr PM flies a new RM200m plane & Taib rides Rolls Royce. In NZ our PM flies 2nd Class; here Taito P Field, an MP was jailed for a few years for corruption (using Thai immigrants to paint his houses). How long would yr Dr MM, Najib, Taib all the BN/UMNO/PBB cronies, MACC, Police chiefs last in a democratic country like NZ, Aus, UK, US or Canada before going to jail? 1 mth?

    ReplyDelete
  17. Even now the European gov’ts and banks are investigating your PM on Scorpene and on Sarawak’s Taib & Sabah’s Musa. The whole world is harping on Taib's billions and Najib & MACC are pretending nothing happened. 3 murders: Ross Boyert (Taib’s former US aide), Manser (native & rainforest activist) & Altantuyaa (Scorpene commission claimant). What kind of integrity has he? He is a total disgrace to Malaysia. His impeachment is long overdue. Kleptocracy! A government that exists only to boost the wealth & grip of those in power. . A gov’t of thieves. Hence the kind of MACC you have, torturing opposition (Teoh Beng Hock) over a few thousand ringgits. What justification is there for these crooks & criminals to remain in power?

    ReplyDelete
  18. PRU ditangguh atau tidak yang pasti kita belum tahu lagi bila PRU sebenarnya akan diadakan.

    ReplyDelete
  19. The latest departures of two Sabah Barisan Nasional (BN) lawmakers will not affect the date of the coming polls as speculated, Datuk Seri Najib Razak said today, adding that the ruling coalition was taking steps to strengthen its east Malaysian fortress.

    ReplyDelete

  20. The prime minister told reporters that despite rumours that more would follow in the footsteps of Beaufort MP Datuk Seri Lajim Ukin and Tuaran MP Datuk Seri Wilfred Mojilip Bumburing, BN was capable of dealing with the issue.

    ReplyDelete
  21. “It’s okay, at this point there are plenty of rumours going around but what is important is that we are confident that BN’s position is not under threat.

    ReplyDelete

  22. “We are able to face this challenge and we will be taking appropriate steps to remedy the situation and strengthen Umno’s and BN’s position,” he told a press conference here after chairing the Umno supreme council meeting.

    ReplyDelete
  23. Najib said the Beaufort Umno division’s deputy chief will now take over as acting head, a post that Lajim had resigned from last weekend when announcing his decision to support Pakatan Rakyat (PR).

    ReplyDelete
  24. “We have also decided that Umno’s state liaison body will handle the operations of the Beaufort division and offer whatever help is needed there to ensure that Umno and BN’s positions would not be threatened,” he said.

    ReplyDelete

  25. When questioned if the duo’s exit would affect the timing of the general election, Najib shook his head in disagreement.

    ReplyDelete
  26. “No,” he said, before adding, “Well I don’t know when the elections will be held ― this year or next year. You cannot assume its next year, it could be this year. You cannot assume it’s this year, it could be next year.”

    ReplyDelete
  27. The Malaysian Insider reported on Monday that the drawn-out exit of Lajim and Bumburing over the weekend was likely to delay the general election from a firm September date to end of the year as the ruling coalition works to retain its “fixed deposit” in the Borneo states.

    ReplyDelete

  28. BN sources in Sabah and Kuala Lumpur said the duo’s decision to back PR are among reasons that Najib is re-looking dates for a snap poll after Budget Day on September 28, as he seeks his personal mandate for the first time some three years and three months after taking power in April 2009.

    ReplyDelete

  29. “It is not likely in September now although Umno and its partners are ready for the polls,” a BN source from Kuala Lumpur told The Malaysian Insider.

    ReplyDelete
  30. “Umno needs to make sure both Sabah and Sarawak remain a fixed deposit and provide the bulk of seats because the Malay vote is split in the peninsula,” the source added, referring to Umno’s share of only 79 seats in Election 2008.

    ReplyDelete
  31. Sources had earlier told The Malaysian Insider that a snap poll was likely to happen in September if Najib carries through a plan to dissolve parliament in August, nine months before the BN mandate expires in April 2013.

    ReplyDelete
  32. There have been several dates bandied about in the past year although the country’s sixth prime minister has expressed confidence of sweeping the majority of all state and federal seats.

    ReplyDelete
  33. Before the latest defections, BN controlled 22 out of the 25 federal seats in Sabah and one in the Federal Territory of Labuan. In Election 2008, BN lost its customary two-third parliamentary majority largely due to significant losses in the peninsula, where it won just 85 seats while the opposition swept 80 seats.

    ReplyDelete

  34. BN’s saving grace was in Sabah, Sarawak and Labuan where the pact trounced the opposition and made a near-clean sweep, winning 55 parliamentary seats to the opposition’s two.

    ReplyDelete
  35. But after the weekend, BN now controls 136 federal seats while PR has 76 seats, SAPP two and eight independents in the 222-seat Dewan Rakyat.

    ReplyDelete